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Thursday, October 04, 2012

All 12 of them?

So the census came out and one of the more interesting things was that there are apparently a lot of gay married men in Ft. MacMurray.   Well, actually there are a lot of married men living together in Ft. Mac and the census people just assumed two married guys living together were married to each other.  Not so much it seems in the oilsands.  Instead, married guys share accommodations in the Northern Alberta town but they are actually married to women who live elsewhere.  Oh well.

The other thing that struck me was the number of gay couples in Canada:

The agency counted 21,015 married gay and lesbian couples and another 43,560 in common-law relationships. That’s up from the 2006 census, which enumerated 45,345 of them — 7,465 married and 37,885 common-law.
So doing the math, there are  64,575 gay or lesbian couples, married or common law, in Canada.  That's 129,150 gays and lesbians in a steady relationship.  Now I have to start making some assumptions and I'll try to be conservative (Sorry, I mean I'll try to be generous).  Let's assume that half of gay and lesbian individuals are involved in a long term relationship.  That would mean there are 260,000 gays and lesbians in Canada.  The population of Canada is approximately 34,937,000.  So, 260,000 divided by 34,937,000 and we get 0.007 or 0.7%. 

Let's say I was wrong and there are twice as many gay singles as there are gays in relationships:

390,000 / 34,937,000 =  0.011 or 1.1% (which is the number the 2006 census postulated)

So, are my figures really wrong, or was the census incorrect?  Where is my error?  And does this finally put to rest the myth of 10% ?  Or even 2%?

Finally, if 1.1% of Canadians are gay or lesbian, what is the subset that are actually "transgendered"?  And if Rob Anders insulted all of them, would there be enough to fill a bus?